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Focus on evidence-based planning, durable measurement driving return to Marketing Mix Modelling: WARC-Amazon Ads report

If it follows the current path, retail media industry will become more valuable to advertisers than linear TV, says WARC’s Paul Stringer.

by MN4U Bureau
July 12, 2023
in Analysis, Featured
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Focus on evidence-based planning, durable measurement driving return to Marketing Mix Modelling: WARC-Amazon Ads report
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‘Next wave measurement: Marketing mix modelling in the age of retail media’, a report released by WARC in collaboration with Amazon Ads, states that focus on evidence-based planning and durable measurement solutions is driving a return to Marketing Mix Modelling (MMM).

The availability of more accurate, timely and relevant always-on data is now being utilised to advance analysis, making MMM state-of-the-art for today’s complex media and retail environment, the report adds.

The report demonstrates the benefits of Marketing Mix Modelling in a world where retail media influence continues to expand, and highlights the advances being made in support of greater industry adoption.

Paul Stringer
Paul Stringer

Paul Stringer, Managing Editor, Research and Advisory, WARC, says, “Retail is already the fourth-largest advertising media, with advertising spend overtaking audio, OOH & cinema, publishing and OTT/streaming, according to our data. By 2025, if the retail media industry follows its current path, it will become more valuable to advertisers than linear TV.

“Marketers need solutions that enable them to understand the holistic impact of their advertising. This is where Marketing Mix Modelling has a critical role to play. The goal of this knowledge paper is to educate marketers on the broad benefits of MMM, while taking a closer look at how modelling can now be used to assess retail media performance.”

Chris Rees
Chris Rees

Chris Rees, Global Measurement Lead, Amazon Ads, says: “As shopping habits continue to evolve, both retailers and marketers face ever greater complexity. Of course, with disruption, there’s opportunity. The rise of digital commerce has led to the emergence of retail media as a major advertising channel, and there is a need to support marketers to find creative and compelling solutions to prioritise the right media channels to amplify their brand and meet their goals.

“In this report, we address how Marketing Mix Modelling can help support key decisions facing marketers and provide measurement across physical and digital channels to ensure they are ready to successfully ride the next wave of digital advertising.”

Consumers use over 20 channels to interact with brands

The growth of retail media is adding increased complexity for marketers. The report quotes research by Upland BlueVenn that shows how today’s ‘hybrid consumer’ interacts with a brand across 20 channels, on average. Additionally, more than half (56 pc) of US marketers are now working with five or more retail media networks, but a lack of standardisation is a major challenge, it contends, basis research by the ANA.

Moitree Rahman, Associate Director, Data Activation and Measurement Strategy, Colgate-Palmolive, said: “MMM is really helping us look at the next level, at both macro and micro channels in each category. We can pinpoint where things aren’t working and which levers we need to pull to optimise them in campaign, in flight, or in scenario planning.”

Marketing Mix Modelling is experiencing a renaissance as more data becomes available to connect marketing and retail channel activity, according to the report.

The reasons marketers are finding MMM valuable for analysing retail media environments are enlisted as:

(1) Identifying incremental sales: MMM has the ability to separate sales that would have happened anyway from sales driven specifically by marketing – ‘incremental’ sales – a critical input for budget setting and prioritisation.

(2) Isolating channel effect: MMM helps identify the individual contributions of each channel utilised by a brand, taking into account category dynamics and external market factors.

(3) Demonstrating online and offline synergies: MMM is able to reveal the relationship between media and retail channels and help marketers understand the effectiveness of multi-channel campaigns.

(4) Understanding branding vs. sales activation: MMM can reveal the distinct contribution between brand building and sales activating strategies for the short and long term.

(5) Durable measurement: MMMs leverage aggregated and anonymised signals from a vast variety of media channels and retail formats enabling marketers to compare across channels in a secure and privacy safe manner.

The report adds that next-generation MMM solutions are more accessible, faster to use, and able to produce detailed analysis by individual sales channels rather than an aggregated view, helping brands improve their retail partner and retail media strategies.

Vasileios Kourakis
Vasileios Kourakis

Vasileios Kourakis, Global Director ROI & Media Lead, L’Oréal, says: “Nowadays the complexity of the touchpoint landscape requires more data collection as new touchpoints have emerged such as Virtual Try-Ons, Ratings and Reviews, etc. and as the majority of time is spent on data collection, the more automation the faster the delivery.”

One can read the full report for free here.

Tags: Amazon AdsChris ReesMarketing Mix ModellingPaul StringerVasileios KourakisWarc

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